TECHNICAL MECHANICS
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UDC 539.376

Technical mechanics, 2017, 2, 99 - 108

STOCHASTIC METHOD FOR EXTRAPOLATION OF DIAGRAMS OF LONG- TERM STRENGTH OF STRUCTURAL MATERIALS

DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/itm2017.02.099

I. A. Doyar

      ABOUT THE AUTHORS

I. A. Doyar
Institute of Technical Mechanics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine and the State Space Agency of Ukraine
Ukraine

      ABSTRACT

      The research objective is to develop a stochastic method of basic diagrams for extrapolation of a long-term strength of structural materials to the lives exceeded the experiment duration by several orders. This method takes into account a random character of a long-term strength of materials and considers a hypothetic stress value as a totally analogue random quantity for a chosen life. Physically, it results in a gross correctness in comparison with the known deterministic methods, and the research novelty. Based on stochastic processing the long-term strength diagrams and methods of a regression analysis, the technique for identifying the unknown parameters of the method is developed. It was concluded that the theoretical results, obtained with this method, are in a good agreement with the long-strength experiments with samples made from the 18Cr-8Ni stainless steel. The above method can be used to predict the failure time of several structural materials that are widely employed for ma- chine-building, nuclear engineering and rocket technology, as well as in the development of standards, methodic recommendations for evaluating the structural materials lives in creep. Pdf (English)







      KEYWORDS

failure, long-term strength, method of basic diagrams, time to failure, probability distribution

      FULL TEXT:

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      REFERENCES

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9. Krivenyuk V. V. Prediction of High-Temperature Creep and Long-Term Strength. Strength of Materials and Structures: Book Series. V. T. Troshchenko (Ed.). Kyiv: Pisarenko Institute for Problems of Strength of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, 2012. V. 5. 752 pp. (in Russian).

10. Data sheets on the elevated-temperature properties of 18Cr-8Ni steel. NRIM Creep Data Sheet. 1986. No. 4B. 32 pp.





DOI: https://doi.org/10.15407/itm2017.02.099

Copyright (©) 2017 YA. F. Andrusyk

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